Epidemic Specifications
1. Design an epidemic model which incorporates any of the features below into the Third Epidemic Model.
a. Introduce births and natural deaths into the population
b. Introduce a vaccination program to prevent susceptible people from getting sick. How many must be vaccinated to reach steady state in the model?
2. Set up a STELLA model of the transmission of aids in the United States by identifying various segments of the population and their probability of engaging in behavior that puts them in danger of becoming infected.
Stocks
- Children
Healthy, HIV Positive, Aids, Dead
- Women
Low Risk, Drug Abusing, Heterosexual, HIV Positive, Aids, Dead
- Men
Low Risk, Drug Abusing, Heterosexual, Bisexual, Gay, HIV Positive Heterosexuals, HIV Positive Bisexuals, HIV Positive Gays, Aids , Dead
Determine the flows to connect the stocks and do research to determine the appropriate values to use.
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